30 November 2023
DUBAI AIR SHOW 2023
Embracing Sustainable Growth
115,000 people attended the Dubai Airshow in November 2023. Despite geopolitical headwinds, rising fuel costs, enduring inflation and supply chain disruption, the mood was buoyant and signalled aerospace’s return to growth.
Similarly to other national airshows, the key theme for Dubai was sustainability, with airspace also given to advanced aerial mobility and diversity and inclusion.
The host nation’s flag carrier, Emirates, dominated the show, ordering 125 aircraft worth USD58 billion. Its order for 90 Boeing 777x Dreamliner’s set a tone of optimism and resilience for the event.
Emirates and Boeing signed a memorandum of understanding on advanced maintenance technology, including drone technology and mixed reality, to reduce the risk of human error and perform comprehensive and accurate inspections.
New Saudi Arabian start-up Riyadh Air made its mark at its inaugural Dubai Airshow, unveiling the second of its dual-livery designs through an innovative digital launch. While the carrier did not make any aircraft order announcements, CEO Tony Douglas promised more exciting updates, developments and milestones before the airline’s maiden voyage in 2025.
Order Rundown
This year’s event saw combined orders of over 400 aircraft. In the battle between the major manufacturers, Boeing secured nearly triple the number of orders of its rival Airbus with widebodies accounting for almost half the order business. This result signals a reversal of fortune from the 2021 airshow, where Airbus and its single aisles eclipsed the event.
While supply chain woes have thwarted both aircraft manufacturers, Boeing appears to have resolved its previous issues relating to the grounding of the 737 MAX programme and problems with the 787 Dreamliner, securing orders for both aircraft.
Source: Cirium Dashboard
Engine Performance
The hot topic of the event was the debate between fuel efficiency and engine durability. According to reports, differences between Emirates and engine maker Rolls Royce put pay to a lucrative deal for Airbus’ A350-1000 model. Emirates sought a guarantee from Rolls Royce on the maintenance cost of the engines and their performance in the harsh desert conditions that the UK manufacturer did not adhere to.
Jet engines are generally sold at a loss, but manufacturers make money on repairs and servicing over the engine’s lifetime. Rather than charge for repairs as and when, engine makers prefer to negotiate long-term deals based on flight hours, agreeing to absorb the cost of planned and unexpected outages. This approach works for both parties as airlines value the cost certainty, and engine makers benefit from a lump sum when the engine enters service.
Nevertheless, the challenging environment in the Middle East poses additional risks for engine performance; therefore, calculating a long-term servicing deal is complex.
The dispute shines a light on a wider industry issue. Airlines want to save on fuel but are also pushing for lower maintenance, and the two are in direct conflict. The situation is exacerbated by engine makers calling for greater compensation to balance their investments in new technology to provide fuel savings.
However, their appeal clashes with previous pledges of dramatic fuel savings and optimum performance. To achieve the promised 15-20% fuel cuts, engines must run hotter, which weighs more heavily on materials, increasing the risk of wear and tear. Both sides strongly believe in their side of the fuel efficiency vs lower maintenance costs debate. As a result, it is one that is likely to shape further discourse and negotiation in 2024.
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Peter Elson
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