08 October 2025

Space Tourism The Risks, Regulation and Uncertainties

John Catchpole, partner at law firm Foot Anstey shares how the space industry has undergone a remarkable transformation over the past decade, shifting from a heavily government-driven to a more commercialised sector. This transition has led to significant reductions in the cost of space travel and increased accessibility, opening the door to a host of new industries and opportunities. Among these, space tourism stands out as one of the most exciting developments.

Although commercial passengers have been travelling to space since 1990, when Toyohiro Akiyama journeyed to the Mir space station, the concept of a more accessible space tourism industry only emerged years later. Fast forward to 2021, and companies like Virgin Galactic, Blue Origin, and SpaceX began operating space tourism flights, marking a pivotal moment in the industry’s evolution.

By 2024, the space tourism market reached an estimated value of USD 1.3 billion, with expectations of huge growth. Analysts predict the market will expand to an impressive USD 40.4 billion by 2033, underscoring the potential of this growing sector.

While the industry continues to develop, a number of risks, uncertainties, and regulatory challenges remain. Working with John Catchpole, partner at law firm Foot Anstey, we outline these key topics and how the Insurance and Legal industries can help navigate these challenges.

Analysts predict the market will expand to an impressive
by 2033

Risk and uncertainties

While the space industry has achieved remarkable advancements over the past 10–15 years, space exploration remains a high-risk endeavour. In the last five years alone, there have been over 60 launch-related incidents leading to total or partial mission loss, which highlights the inherent technical risks of current space travel. Even the highly reliable Falcon 9 experienced a setback in July 2024, serving as a stark reminder of the inherent challenges and risks associated with this field.

In the context of space tourism, the stakes are even higher. The primary concern is not the financial impact of a lost satellite but the loss of human life, making the success of launches critical. Unlike satellite launches, where reliability can be assessed through cost-benefit analyses, human spaceflight demands near perfection; there is no margin for error.

Another pressing concern for operators is the uncertainty of liability in the event of an accident. While a number of launch-related liability regimes are well-developed and widely understood, space-related liability remains less defined. This ambiguity poses challenges for the industry as it seeks to navigate the legal and financial implications of commercial space activities.

Additionally, the rapid growth of the industry has broader implications. As more people travel to space and commercial space stations are developed, the increase in space infrastructure will inevitably lead to more debris. A notable example of this risk occurred in March 2024, when a piece of debris released from the ISS crashed through the roof of a family home in Florida. For more details on this incident from a legal perspective, see the Foot Anstey article here.

Regulatory Landscape and its uncertainties

Implementing effective regulation is an important enabler for managing many of the risks in the space industry. However, as seen with other sectors that are reliant on new or rapidly evolving technology, the pace of technological development in the industry is likely to outstrip the speed at which effective regulation can be introduced.

In the case of space tourism, which is an emerging market, nations are taking different approaches to regulation, with their approach often being driven by domestic drivers and policy. As nations develop their own regulatory regimes, they will seek to balance competing outcomes, including support for innovation, safety, global competitiveness, and sustainability. The traditional industry view is often that tighter regulation can be used to improve safety, but it also has the potential to increase red tape and costs, which can impact commercial competitiveness.

In the US, the ‘informed consent’ regime has come under criticism for failing to ensure that space flight participants (including space tourists) really understand the risks they face, and policy decisions (such as the extension of the legislative moratorium preventing FAA regulation of the design or operation of launch vehicles to protect the health and safety of crews and space flights participants) can intentionally hinder regulatory advances.

In the UK, the Space Industry Regulations intentionally limit the licensing of UK commercial human spaceflight to brief sub-orbital flights (such as Blue Origin and Virgin Galactic's current flight operations). This approach in the UK is understandable given the extent and current nature of the space tourism industry in the UK; however, as the space tourism industry develops and new industries and services grow (such as hypersonic or other point to point transport), there will be a greater number of space flight participants spending more time in space and we would expect the regulations to be developed to promote the safety of space tourists.

Inconsistent international regulatory regimes may well result in ‘jurisdiction shopping’ for operators, as operators review the benefits of relocating/registering their space activities to a nation with more favourable legislation.

It is easy (especially for lawyers) to focus on regulation, but it is crucial to appreciate that regulation is just one of a number of means of achieving desirable outcomes (such as good levels of safety, sustainability) and regulation should work alongside and complement other drivers, such as industry best practice and standards, international co-operation, the investment market and, of course, the insurance market.

How can the insurance and legal industry help overcome the risks and uncertainties?

Insurance can play a vital role in supporting the development and navigation of the space tourism industry. Given the high technical risks associated with projects and missions, the ability to purchase insurance provides customers, banks, governments, and investors with the confidence needed to back these ventures. Moreover, when insurance is mandatory or purchased on a recurring basis, requirements from insurers and premium quantum can incentivise operators to adopt improved risk management practices, with the ultimate aim of driving the industry toward safer and more efficient operations.

For space tourism operators, manufacturers, or even a private passenger, the insurance market offers a variety of tailored solutions, including:

First-party asset cover

Coverage for launch vehicles, space stations, and other space assets.

Third-party liabilities

Protection against liabilities ranging from ground-based risks to complex in-orbit and re-entry liabilities.

Personal accident cover

Designed for space tourism operators and space tourists.

Product liability insurance

Coverage for manufacturers and operators of space assets & infrastructure.

While the insurance market is starting to provide a range of coverage options for the space tourism industry, it is crucial to work with a broker, such as Gallagher, that understands both the unique risks of space tourism and also has a depth of expertise across all other lines of insurance. This is particularly important, noting that the space tourism industry can benefit from products within the broader aerospace and personal accident insurance sectors, not just space-specific solutions. Gallagher is able to bring a unique experience in partnering with space tourism companies, offering tailored solutions to address all risks and ensure coverage is comprehensive and fully bespoke as required.

It is also vitally important for people and businesses operating in space to ensure compliance with all applicable laws (whether domestic or international) and manage risks, focusing on both their own operations and those of others. Specialist legal advice – such as that Foot Anstey can deliver - can be a hugely important means of understanding the risks and mitigating them via a range of actions, such as taking steps to comply with laws, using contracts to allocate liability, working with insurers, investors and other professional advisers to ensure that the risks are understood and managed effectively.

In summary, while the space tourism industry is developing rapidly, from a commercial viewpoint, it remains in its infancy. Significant challenges persist in creating a world where space travel becomes a common reality, with safety being a primary hurdle to overcome. Striking the right balance between enabling opportunities and ensuring safety is critical to the industry's success. Although a path for the future is starting to emerge, many uncertainties lie ahead.

What is certain, however, is that no single company or industry can address these challenges alone. Collaboration across sectors, particularly Legal, Insurance, and Finance, is essential to support the industry's growth and realise its predicted potential.

Space insurance market update

We reported in Q2 that the space insurance market was showing signs of turning a corner, and this trend has continued through Q3. A significant portion of the insurance capacity lost over the past 18 months has been replaced. Competition is therefore healthy and somewhat heightened by the historically low number of ‘blue-chip’ launches in the pipeline and ongoing delays in key programmes. Heading into late 2025, the environment looks to be improving for insurance buyers. As always, however, the market remains volatile and sensitive, such that any significant claims could quickly dampen the current positive trend.

In the wake of losses in 2023 and 2024, the space sector is accelerating its already rapid innovation, and manufacturers are making progress towards realising their next-generation products. Many insurers chose to scale back their appetite for non-traditional programmes. But, with the scarcity of available premium and growing competition for risks, we anticipate that underwriters will be drawn into providing more favourable proposals for buyers involved in these exciting projects, particularly those associated with the ‘New Space’ economy and the space tourism industry.

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Let's talk


Peter Elson

CEO, Aerospace

Executive Chairman, Gallagher Specialty

Peter_Elson@ajg.com

John Catchpole

Partner

Foot Anstey

www.footanstey.com

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